Definition
The County Turnout Score is a predictive model that estimates the likelihood an individual will vote in their local county election, such as a county commissioner, sheriff, county clerk, or county ballot measure race. These models are custom-trained for each specific county where the county race is the top-of-ticket contest. Note that this score should NOT be used in federal or other statewide elections - in that case we would recommend using the appropriate statewide score (e.g. Off Year Statewide General Turnout Score for races occurring on Nov 4, 2025, or the Midterm General Turnout Score/ Presidential General Turnout Score for races occurring in 2026/2028, respectively). In jurisdictions where the County Turnout Score is unavailable (either because local vote history data is unavailable, or because the election is a special election, e.g.), you can use the Local Voter Score as an alternative.
Location
Model Scores
Methodology
View the Release Notes for more information on this score.